2025 Week 1 · Final
Houston Texans at Los Angeles Rams, final 9–14
Pregame first read
LA pass defense has the stronger league profile.
HOU passing attack #27/32 · LA pass defense #4/32 · 179 offense / 202 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LA -3
- Model total
- 41.5
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -10.7 to +22.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingMatthew StaffordLA245 pass yds
- RushingKyren WilliamsLA66 rush yds
- ReceivingPuka NacuaLA130 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#13/32HOU pass defense#10/32
- LA run game#25/32HOU run defense#12/32
- HOU passing attack#27/32LA pass defense#4/32
- HOU run game#11/32LA run defense#21/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
HOUHouston Texans
Not enough recorded games yet.
LALos Angeles Rams
Not enough recorded games yet.