2025 Week 1 · Final
New York Giants at Washington Commanders, final 6–21
Pregame first read
WAS passing attack has the stronger league profile.
WAS passing attack #10/32 · NYG pass defense #30/32 · 199 offense / 172 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- WAS -6.5
- Model total
- 50.5
- 80% range (WAS margin)
- -7.4 to +25.5
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJayden DanielsWAS233 pass yds
- RushingJacory Croskey-MerrittWAS82 rush yds
- ReceivingDeebo Samuel Sr.WAS77 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- WAS passing attack#10/32NYG pass defense#30/32
- WAS run game#6/32NYG run defense#2/32
- NYG passing attack#28/32WAS pass defense#21/32
- NYG run game#27/32WAS run defense#28/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
NYGNew York Giants
Not enough recorded games yet.
WASWashington Commanders
Not enough recorded games yet.