2025 Week 1 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks, final 17–13

SFSFSan Francisco 49ers17SEASEASeattle Seahawks13

Pregame first read

SEA run game has the stronger league profile.

SEA run game #7/32 · SF run defense #27/32 · 109 offense / 146 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: SEA -6
Model total: 44
80% range (SEA margin): -7.7 to +25.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingBrock PurdySF277 pass yds
RushingChristian McCaffreySF69 rush yds
ReceivingJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA124 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

SEA passing attack#24/32SF pass defense#22/32
SEA run game#7/32SF run defense#27/32
SF passing attack#7/32SEA pass defense#14/32
SF run game#19/32SEA run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

Not enough recorded games yet.

SEASeattle Seahawks

Not enough recorded games yet.