2025 Week 1 · Final

Tennessee Titans at Denver Broncos, final 12–20

TENTENTennessee Titans12DENDENDenver Broncos20

Pregame first read

DEN run defense has the stronger league profile.

TEN run game #29/32 · DEN run defense #8/32 · 138 offense / 137 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: DEN -8.5
Model total: 48.5
80% range (DEN margin): -5.2 to +27.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingBo NixDEN176 pass yds
RushingRJ HarveyDEN70 rush yds
ReceivingCourtland SuttonDEN61 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

DEN passing attack#9/32TEN pass defense#23/32
DEN run game#16/32TEN run defense#30/32
TEN passing attack#21/32DEN pass defense#16/32
TEN run game#29/32DEN run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TENTennessee Titans

Not enough recorded games yet.

DENDenver Broncos

Not enough recorded games yet.