AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 10 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings, final 27–19

BALBALBaltimore Ravens27MINMINMinnesota Vikings19

Pregame first read

BAL run defense has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #29/32 · BAL run defense #11/32 · 101 offense / 125 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -0.5
Model total
49
80% range (MIN margin)
-12.7 to +20.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#22/32BAL pass defense#28/32
  • MIN run game#29/32BAL run defense#11/32
  • BAL passing attack#28/32MIN pass defense#31/32
  • BAL run game#15/32MIN run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

MINMinnesota Vikings