2025 Week 10 · Final
Cleveland Browns at New York Jets, final 20–27
Pregame first read
CLE run defense has the stronger league profile.
NYJ run game #17/32 · CLE run defense #1/32 · 138 offense / 128 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NYJ -0.5
- Model total
- 43.5
- 80% range (NYJ margin)
- -13.0 to +20.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDillon GabrielCLE167 pass yds
- RushingBreece HallNYJ83 rush yds
- ReceivingJerry JeudyCLE78 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYJ passing attack#23/32CLE pass defense#10/32
- NYJ run game#17/32CLE run defense#1/32
- CLE passing attack#32/32NYJ pass defense#23/32
- CLE run game#18/32NYJ run defense#27/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CLECleveland Browns
- Joe FlaccoQB · 4 games204pass yds/g
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · 7 games69.4rush yds/g
- Harold Fannin Jr.TE · 8 games44rec yds/g
- David NjokuTE · 7 games37.1rec yds/g
NYJNew York Jets
- Justin FieldsQB · 7 games156pass yds/g
- Breece HallRB · 8 games72.6rush yds/g
- Garrett WilsonWR · 6 games65.8rec yds/g
- Tyler JohnsonWR · 6 games31.2rec yds/g