AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 10 · Final

Detroit Lions at Washington Commanders, final 44–22

DETDETDetroit Lions44WASWASWashington Commanders22

Pregame first read

DET pass defense has the stronger league profile.

WAS passing attack #25/32 · DET pass defense #2/32 · 149 offense / 198 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -7
Model total
51.5
80% range (WAS margin)
-20.3 to +13.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#25/32DET pass defense#2/32
  • WAS run game#20/32DET run defense#26/32
  • DET passing attack#15/32WAS pass defense#29/32
  • DET run game#23/32WAS run defense#28/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

WASWashington Commanders