AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 10 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos, final 7–10

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders7DENDENDenver Broncos10

Pregame first read

DEN run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #31/32 · DEN run defense #6/32 · 115 offense / 132 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -8
Model total
44
80% range (DEN margin)
-5.3 to +28.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#16/32LV pass defense#18/32
  • DEN run game#10/32LV run defense#24/32
  • LV passing attack#28/32DEN pass defense#7/32
  • LV run game#31/32DEN run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

DENDenver Broncos