AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 10 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers, final 17–7

NONONew Orleans Saints17CARCARCarolina Panthers7

Pregame first read

CAR run defense has the stronger league profile.

NO run game #32/32 · CAR run defense #6/32 · 98 offense / 112 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CAR -5
Model total
43
80% range (CAR margin)
-8.4 to +25.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#27/32NO pass defense#19/32
  • CAR run game#7/32NO run defense#13/32
  • NO passing attack#30/32CAR pass defense#25/32
  • NO run game#32/32CAR run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

CARCarolina Panthers