AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 10 · Final

New York Giants at Chicago Bears, final 20–24

NYGNYGNew York Giants20CHICHIChicago Bears24

Pregame first read

CHI run game has the stronger league profile.

CHI run game #3/32 · NYG run defense #31/32 · 149 offense / 140 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -1.5
Model total
54
80% range (CHI margin)
-11.8 to +21.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#11/32NYG pass defense#24/32
  • CHI run game#3/32NYG run defense#31/32
  • NYG passing attack#20/32CHI pass defense#15/32
  • NYG run game#5/32CHI run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

CHIChicago Bears