AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 10 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Los Angeles Chargers, final 10–25

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers10LACLACLos Angeles Chargers25

Pregame first read

LAC run game has the stronger league profile.

LAC run game #9/32 · PIT run defense #30/32 · 139 offense / 101 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -0.5
Model total
47.5
80% range (LAC margin)
-12.8 to +20.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LAC passing attack#16/32PIT pass defense#16/32
  • LAC run game#9/32PIT run defense#30/32
  • PIT passing attack#14/32LAC pass defense#21/32
  • PIT run game#10/32LAC run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

LACLos Angeles Chargers