AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 11 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns, final 23–16

BALBALBaltimore Ravens23CLECLECleveland Browns16

Pregame first read

CLE pass defense has the stronger league profile.

BAL passing attack #22/32 · CLE pass defense #6/32 · 138 offense / 147 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -3.5
Model total
44
80% range (CLE margin)
-17.3 to +16.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#31/32BAL pass defense#21/32
  • CLE run game#16/32BAL run defense#10/32
  • BAL passing attack#22/32CLE pass defense#6/32
  • BAL run game#18/32CLE run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

CLECleveland Browns