AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 11 · Final

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 12–34

CINCINCincinnati Bengals12PITPITPittsburgh Steelers34

Pregame first read

CIN run game has the stronger league profile.

CIN run game #3/32 · PIT run defense #30/32 · 89 offense / 111 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -4.5
Model total
53
80% range (PIT margin)
-8.9 to +24.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#20/32CIN pass defense#31/32
  • PIT run game#17/32CIN run defense#31/32
  • CIN passing attack#9/32PIT pass defense#14/32
  • CIN run game#3/32PIT run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

PITPittsburgh Steelers