2025 Week 11 · Final
Green Bay Packers at New York Giants, final 27–20
Pregame first read
GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.
GB passing attack #7/32 · NYG pass defense #22/32 · 171 offense / 175 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- GB -4
- Model total
- 46
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -17.4 to +16.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJameis WinstonNYG201 pass yds
- RushingTyrone Tracy Jr.NYG88 rush yds
- ReceivingIsaiah HodginsNYG57 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#11/32GB pass defense#18/32
- NYG run game#4/32GB run defense#7/32
- GB passing attack#7/32NYG pass defense#22/32
- GB run game#21/32NYG run defense#32/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 9 games250pass yds/g
- Josh JacobsRB · 9 games67.6rush yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 3 games62.7rec yds/g
- Tucker KraftTE · 8 games61.1rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- Jaxson DartQB · 9 games157pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 8 games51.3rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 4 games67.8rec yds/g
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · 10 games60.2rec yds/g