2025 Week 11 · Final
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams, final 19–21
Pregame first read
LA run defense has the stronger league profile.
SEA run game #27/32 · LA run defense #1/32 · 139 offense / 124 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SEA -1
- Model total
- 50
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -14.5 to +19.1
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingSam DarnoldSEA279 pass yds
- RushingKyren WilliamsLA91 rush yds
- ReceivingJaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA105 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#2/32SEA pass defense#12/32
- LA run game#23/32SEA run defense#4/32
- SEA passing attack#1/32LA pass defense#9/32
- SEA run game#27/32LA run defense#1/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SEASeattle Seahawks
- Sam DarnoldQB · 9 games251pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 9 games59.9rush yds/g
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · 9 games116rec yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 8 games45.9rec yds/g
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 9 games270pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 9 games73.2rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 8 games96.9rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 9 games63.1rec yds/g