AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 11 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals, final 41–22

SFSFSan Francisco 49ers41ARIARIArizona Cardinals22

Pregame first read

ARI passing attack has the stronger league profile.

ARI passing attack #18/32 · SF pass defense #30/32 · 210 offense / 175 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
47.5
80% range (ARI margin)
-13.7 to +19.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#18/32SF pass defense#30/32
  • ARI run game#28/32SF run defense#26/32
  • SF passing attack#12/32ARI pass defense#17/32
  • SF run game#13/32ARI run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

ARIArizona Cardinals