2025 Week 12 · Final
Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders, final 24–10
Pregame first read
CLE pass defense has the stronger league profile.
LV passing attack #28/32 · CLE pass defense #1/32 · 165 offense / 139 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- CLE -3
- Model total
- 40.5
- 80% range (LV margin)
- -16.3 to +16.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingGeno SmithLV285 pass yds
- RushingAshton JeantyLV50 rush yds
- ReceivingTyler LockettLV62 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LV passing attack#28/32CLE pass defense#1/32
- LV run game#32/32CLE run defense#13/32
- CLE passing attack#32/32LV pass defense#17/32
- CLE run game#25/32LV run defense#18/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CLECleveland Browns
- Joe FlaccoQB · 4 games204pass yds/g
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · 9 games68.9rush yds/g
- Harold Fannin Jr.TE · 10 games42.2rec yds/g
- Jerry JeudyWR · 10 games35.6rec yds/g
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Geno SmithQB · 10 games208pass yds/g
- Ashton JeantyRB · 10 games55.4rush yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 7 games65rec yds/g
- Jakobi MeyersWR · 7 games50.3rec yds/g