2025 Week 12 · Final
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers, final 6–23
Pregame first read
GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.
GB passing attack #3/32 · MIN pass defense #29/32 · 173 offense / 160 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- GB -1.5
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -12.0 to +21.1
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJordan LoveGB139 pass yds
- RushingEmanuel WilsonGB107 rush yds
- ReceivingChristian WatsonGB49 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#3/32MIN pass defense#29/32
- GB run game#18/32MIN run defense#10/32
- MIN passing attack#30/32GB pass defense#19/32
- MIN run game#19/32GB run defense#11/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
MINMinnesota Vikings
- Carson WentzQB · 5 games243pass yds/g
- Jordan MasonRB · 10 games48.9rush yds/g
- Justin JeffersonWR · 10 games74.7rec yds/g
- Jordan AddisonWR · 7 games58.9rec yds/g
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 10 games242pass yds/g
- Josh JacobsRB · 10 games64.8rush yds/g
- Tucker KraftTE · 8 games61.1rec yds/g
- Christian WatsonWR · 4 games58.5rec yds/g