AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 12 · Final

New York Giants at Detroit Lions, final 27–34

NYGNYGNew York Giants27DETDETDetroit Lions34

Pregame first read

DET passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DET passing attack #12/32 · NYG pass defense #28/32 · 179 offense / 168 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -5.5
Model total
50
80% range (DET margin)
-7.7 to +25.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#12/32NYG pass defense#28/32
  • DET run game#21/32NYG run defense#32/32
  • NYG passing attack#9/32DET pass defense#8/32
  • NYG run game#5/32DET run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

DETDetroit Lions