AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 12 · Final

New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens, final 10–23

NYJNYJNew York Jets10BALBALBaltimore Ravens23

Pregame first read

BAL pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NYJ passing attack #31/32 · BAL pass defense #6/32 · 142 offense / 181 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -1
Model total
46
80% range (BAL margin)
-12.4 to +20.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#25/32NYJ pass defense#20/32
  • BAL run game#8/32NYJ run defense#19/32
  • NYJ passing attack#31/32BAL pass defense#6/32
  • NYJ run game#15/32BAL run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYJNew York Jets

BALBaltimore Ravens