AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 12 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys, final 21–24

PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles21DALDALDallas Cowboys24

Pregame first read

PHI run defense has the stronger league profile.

DAL run game #20/32 · PHI run defense #12/32 · 126 offense / 126 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -1.5
Model total
51.5
80% range (DAL margin)
-14.7 to +18.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#7/32PHI pass defense#11/32
  • DAL run game#20/32PHI run defense#12/32
  • PHI passing attack#6/32DAL pass defense#12/32
  • PHI run game#26/32DAL run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

DALDallas Cowboys