AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 12 · Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Los Angeles Rams, final 7–34

TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers7LALALos Angeles Rams34

Pregame first read

LA pass defense has the stronger league profile.

TB passing attack #26/32 · LA pass defense #4/32 · 182 offense / 201 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LA -5
Model total
49.5
80% range (LA margin)
-8.2 to +24.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LA passing attack#4/32TB pass defense#9/32
  • LA run game#10/32TB run defense#14/32
  • TB passing attack#26/32LA pass defense#4/32
  • TB run game#4/32LA run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

LALos Angeles Rams