AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 13 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, final 17–20

ARIARIArizona Cardinals17TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers20

Pregame first read

TB run game has the stronger league profile.

TB run game #3/32 · ARI run defense #19/32 · 129 offense / 133 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
TB -1
Model total
51.5
80% range (TB margin)
-12.2 to +20.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TB passing attack#31/32ARI pass defense#16/32
  • TB run game#3/32ARI run defense#19/32
  • ARI passing attack#17/32TB pass defense#12/32
  • ARI run game#27/32TB run defense#13/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers