AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 13 · Final

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 26–7

BUFBUFBuffalo Bills26PITPITPittsburgh Steelers7

Pregame first read

BUF run game has the stronger league profile.

BUF run game #4/32 · PIT run defense #25/32 · 137 offense / 120 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BUF -1
Model total
48.5
80% range (PIT margin)
-13.8 to +18.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#24/32BUF pass defense#6/32
  • PIT run game#16/32BUF run defense#29/32
  • BUF passing attack#7/32PIT pass defense#10/32
  • BUF run game#4/32PIT run defense#25/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BUFBuffalo Bills

PITPittsburgh Steelers