AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 13 · Final

Denver Broncos at Washington Commanders, final 27–26

DENDENDenver Broncos27WASWASWashington Commanders26

Pregame first read

DEN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DEN passing attack #15/32 · WAS pass defense #32/32 · 192 offense / 150 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -9
Model total
44.5
80% range (WAS margin)
-22.1 to +10.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#21/32DEN pass defense#13/32
  • WAS run game#14/32DEN run defense#7/32
  • DEN passing attack#15/32WAS pass defense#32/32
  • DEN run game#9/32WAS run defense#21/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

WASWashington Commanders