AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 13 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, final 31–24

GBGBGreen Bay Packers31DETDETDetroit Lions24

Pregame first read

DET run defense has the stronger league profile.

GB run game #22/32 · DET run defense #10/32 · 140 offense / 140 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -1
Model total
46.5
80% range (DET margin)
-12.0 to +20.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#17/32GB pass defense#11/32
  • DET run game#4/32GB run defense#14/32
  • GB passing attack#2/32DET pass defense#8/32
  • GB run game#22/32DET run defense#10/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

DETDetroit Lions