AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 13 · Final

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans, final 25–3

JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars25TENTENTennessee Titans3

Pregame first read

JAX run game has the stronger league profile.

JAX run game #8/32 · TEN run defense #30/32 · 162 offense / 123 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
JAX -5.5
Model total
45
80% range (TEN margin)
-18.8 to +13.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • TEN passing attack#23/32JAX pass defense#11/32
  • TEN run game#30/32JAX run defense#14/32
  • JAX passing attack#26/32TEN pass defense#31/32
  • JAX run game#8/32TEN run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

TENTennessee Titans