AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 13 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers, final 14–31

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders14LACLACLos Angeles Chargers31

Pregame first read

LAC pass defense has the stronger league profile.

LV passing attack #29/32 · LAC pass defense #9/32 · 194 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -5
Model total
42.5
80% range (LAC margin)
-8.2 to +24.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LAC passing attack#19/32LV pass defense#21/32
  • LAC run game#12/32LV run defense#18/32
  • LV passing attack#29/32LAC pass defense#9/32
  • LV run game#32/32LAC run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

LACLos Angeles Chargers