2025 Week 13 · Final
New York Giants at New England Patriots, final 15–33
Pregame first read
NE passing attack has the stronger league profile.
NE passing attack #3/32 · NYG pass defense #27/32 · 168 offense / 158 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NE -7
- Model total
- 49
- 80% range (NE margin)
- -6.6 to +26.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingDrake MayeNE282 pass yds
- RushingDevin SingletaryNYG68 rush yds
- ReceivingHunter HenryNE73 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NE passing attack#3/32NYG pass defense#27/32
- NE run game#25/32NYG run defense#32/32
- NYG passing attack#6/32NE pass defense#5/32
- NYG run game#8/32NE run defense#26/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
NYGNew York Giants
- Jameis WinstonQB · 2 games284pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 8 games51.3rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 4 games67.8rec yds/g
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · 12 games66.2rec yds/g
NENew England Patriots
- Drake MayeQB · 12 games261pass yds/g
- TreVeyon HendersonRB · 12 games46.5rush yds/g
- Stefon DiggsWR · 12 games56.6rec yds/g
- Hunter HenryTE · 12 games44.8rec yds/g