AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 13 · Final

San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns, final 26–8

Pregame first read

CLE pass defense has the stronger league profile.

SF passing attack #4/32 · CLE pass defense #1/32 · 161 offense / 163 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SF -3
Model total
44
80% range (CLE margin)
-16.3 to +16.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#30/32SF pass defense#30/32
  • CLE run game#29/32SF run defense#28/32
  • SF passing attack#4/32CLE pass defense#1/32
  • SF run game#7/32CLE run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SFSan Francisco 49ers

CLECleveland Browns