2025 Week 13 · Final
San Francisco 49ers at Cleveland Browns, final 26–8
Pregame first read
CLE pass defense has the stronger league profile.
SF passing attack #4/32 · CLE pass defense #1/32 · 161 offense / 163 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SF -3
- Model total
- 44
- 80% range (CLE margin)
- -16.3 to +16.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBrock PurdySF168 pass yds
- RushingQuinshon JudkinsCLE91 rush yds
- ReceivingGeorge KittleSF67 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- CLE passing attack#30/32SF pass defense#30/32
- CLE run game#29/32SF run defense#28/32
- SF passing attack#4/32CLE pass defense#1/32
- SF run game#7/32CLE run defense#6/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
SFSan Francisco 49ers
- Brock PurdyQB · 4 games245pass yds/g
- Christian McCaffreyRB · 12 games66.3rush yds/g
- Ricky PearsallWR · 6 games55.5rec yds/g
- Kendrick BourneWR · 9 games53.6rec yds/g
CLECleveland Browns
- Joe FlaccoQB · 4 games204pass yds/g
- Quinshon JudkinsRB · 10 games66.7rush yds/g
- Harold Fannin Jr.TE · 11 games42rec yds/g
- Jerry JeudyWR · 11 games35.9rec yds/g