AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 14 · Final

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers, final 21–28

CHICHIChicago Bears21GBGBGreen Bay Packers28

Pregame first read

GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #3/32 · CHI pass defense #18/32 · 158 offense / 189 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -1.5
Model total
46
80% range (GB margin)
-12.0 to +20.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • GB passing attack#3/32CHI pass defense#18/32
  • GB run game#22/32CHI run defense#19/32
  • CHI passing attack#15/32GB pass defense#22/32
  • CHI run game#1/32GB run defense#11/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

GBGreen Bay Packers