AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 14 · Final

Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills, final 34–39

CINCINCincinnati Bengals34BUFBUFBuffalo Bills39

Pregame first read

CIN run game has the stronger league profile.

CIN run game #7/32 · BUF run defense #31/32 · 115 offense / 131 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BUF -4.5
Model total
53
80% range (BUF margin)
-9.2 to +23.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BUF passing attack#7/32CIN pass defense#30/32
  • BUF run game#17/32CIN run defense#30/32
  • CIN passing attack#21/32BUF pass defense#7/32
  • CIN run game#7/32BUF run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

BUFBuffalo Bills