AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 14 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions, final 30–44

DALDALDallas Cowboys30DETDETDetroit Lions44

Pregame first read

DAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #9/32 · DET pass defense #30/32 · 190 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
53
80% range (DET margin)
-13.7 to +19.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DET passing attack#11/32DAL pass defense#26/32
  • DET run game#11/32DAL run defense#27/32
  • DAL passing attack#9/32DET pass defense#30/32
  • DAL run game#19/32DET run defense#14/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

DETDetroit Lions