2025 Week 14 · Final
Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders, final 24–17
Pregame first read
DEN run defense has the stronger league profile.
LV run game #32/32 · DEN run defense #15/32 · 93 offense / 130 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DEN -9
- Model total
- 40.5
- 80% range (LV margin)
- -22.6 to +10.3
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBo NixDEN212 pass yds
- RushingRJ HarveyDEN75 rush yds
- ReceivingCourtland SuttonDEN62 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LV passing attack#28/32DEN pass defense#13/32
- LV run game#32/32DEN run defense#15/32
- DEN passing attack#12/32LV pass defense#20/32
- DEN run game#16/32LV run defense#18/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DENDenver Broncos
- Bo NixQB · 12 games229pass yds/g
- J.K. DobbinsRB · 10 games77.2rush yds/g
- Courtland SuttonWR · 12 games59.3rec yds/g
- Troy FranklinWR · 12 games44.2rec yds/g
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Geno SmithQB · 12 games211pass yds/g
- Ashton JeantyRB · 12 games52.9rush yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 9 games63.7rec yds/g
- Jakobi MeyersWR · 7 games50.3rec yds/g