AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 14 · Final

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars, final 19–36

INDINDIndianapolis Colts19JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars36

Pregame first read

JAX pass defense has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #22/32 · JAX pass defense #4/32 · 181 offense / 217 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
IND -3.5
Model total
48.5
80% range (JAX margin)
-17.0 to +16.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • JAX passing attack#24/32IND pass defense#16/32
  • JAX run game#13/32IND run defense#9/32
  • IND passing attack#22/32JAX pass defense#4/32
  • IND run game#2/32JAX run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

INDIndianapolis Colts

JAXJacksonville Jaguars