2025 Week 14 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Los Angeles Chargers, final 19–22

PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles19LACLACLos Angeles Chargers22

Pregame first read

LAC run defense has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #24/32 · LAC run defense #1/32 · 138 offense / 110 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: LAC -0.5
Model total: 43.5
80% range (LAC margin): -13.7 to +19.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingJalen HurtsPHI240 pass yds
RushingSaquon BarkleyPHI122 rush yds
ReceivingA.J. BrownPHI100 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

LAC passing attack#19/32PHI pass defense#10/32
LAC run game#8/32PHI run defense#11/32
PHI passing attack#8/32LAC pass defense#5/32
PHI run game#24/32LAC run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

Jalen HurtsQB · 12 games210pass yds/g
Saquon BarkleyRB · 12 games61.7rush yds/g
DeVonta SmithWR · 12 games66.8rec yds/g
A.J. BrownWR · 11 games63.5rec yds/g

LACLos Angeles Chargers

Justin HerbertQB · 12 games237pass yds/g
Kimani VidalRB · 8 games67.9rush yds/g
Ladd McConkeyWR · 12 games56.9rec yds/g
Oronde Gadsden IITE · 10 games53.4rec yds/g