AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 14 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens, final 27–22

PITPITPittsburgh Steelers27BALBALBaltimore Ravens22

Pregame first read

BAL run defense has the stronger league profile.

PIT run game #24/32 · BAL run defense #1/32 · 119 offense / 122 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
BAL -0.5
Model total
43.5
80% range (BAL margin)
-13.4 to +19.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#27/32PIT pass defense#5/32
  • BAL run game#6/32PIT run defense#28/32
  • PIT passing attack#25/32BAL pass defense#9/32
  • PIT run game#24/32BAL run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

BALBaltimore Ravens