AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 14 · Final

Seattle Seahawks at Atlanta Falcons, final 37–9

SEASEASeattle Seahawks37ATLATLAtlanta Falcons9

Pregame first read

SEA pass defense has the stronger league profile.

ATL passing attack #16/32 · SEA pass defense #1/32 · 160 offense / 185 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -7
Model total
46.5
80% range (ATL margin)
-20.6 to +12.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ATL passing attack#16/32SEA pass defense#1/32
  • ATL run game#8/32SEA run defense#10/32
  • SEA passing attack#9/32ATL pass defense#15/32
  • SEA run game#20/32ATL run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

SEASeattle Seahawks

ATLAtlanta Falcons