AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 14 · Final

Washington Commanders at Minnesota Vikings, final 0–31

WASWASWashington Commanders0MINMINMinnesota Vikings31

Pregame first read

MIN run game has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #12/32 · WAS run defense #26/32 · 100 offense / 140 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
44.5
80% range (MIN margin)
-13.8 to +19.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#32/32WAS pass defense#32/32
  • MIN run game#12/32WAS run defense#26/32
  • WAS passing attack#14/32MIN pass defense#17/32
  • WAS run game#14/32MIN run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

MINMinnesota Vikings