AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 15 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans, final 20–40

ARIARIArizona Cardinals20HOUHOUHouston Texans40

Pregame first read

HOU run defense has the stronger league profile.

ARI run game #29/32 · HOU run defense #6/32 · 91 offense / 119 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
HOU -6.5
Model total
47
80% range (HOU margin)
-7.8 to +25.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • HOU passing attack#15/32ARI pass defense#27/32
  • HOU run game#24/32ARI run defense#29/32
  • ARI passing attack#20/32HOU pass defense#4/32
  • ARI run game#29/32HOU run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

HOUHouston Texans