2025 Week 15 · Final
Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints, final 17–20
Pregame first read
NO pass defense has the stronger league profile.
CAR passing attack #11/32 · NO pass defense #8/32 · 153 offense / 142 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- CAR -2
- Model total
- 38.5
- 80% range (NO margin)
- -16.2 to +17.3
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingTyler ShoughNO272 pass yds
- RushingBryce YoungCAR49 rush yds
- ReceivingChris OlaveNO85 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NO passing attack#23/32CAR pass defense#24/32
- NO run game#28/32CAR run defense#25/32
- CAR passing attack#11/32NO pass defense#8/32
- CAR run game#20/32NO run defense#17/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CARCarolina Panthers
- Bryce YoungQB · 12 games195pass yds/g
- Rico DowdleRB · 13 games71.5rush yds/g
- Tetairoa McMillanWR · 13 games63.5rec yds/g
- Jalen CokerWR · 7 games32rec yds/g
NONew Orleans Saints
- Spencer RattlerQB · 8 games198pass yds/g
- Alvin KamaraRB · 11 games42.8rush yds/g
- Chris OlaveWR · 13 games62.4rec yds/g
- Rashid ShaheedWR · 9 games55.4rec yds/g