AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 15 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Chicago Bears, final 3–31

CLECLECleveland Browns3CHICHIChicago Bears31

Pregame first read

CLE pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CHI passing attack #21/32 · CLE pass defense #2/32 · 179 offense / 159 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -2.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (CHI margin)
-11.5 to +22.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#21/32CLE pass defense#2/32
  • CHI run game#2/32CLE run defense#20/32
  • CLE passing attack#26/32CHI pass defense#16/32
  • CLE run game#30/32CHI run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

CHIChicago Bears