2025 Week 15 · Final
Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Rams, final 34–41
Pregame first read
LA passing attack has the stronger league profile.
LA passing attack #4/32 · DET pass defense #29/32 · 162 offense / 175 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LA -7
- Model total
- 49.5
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -7.4 to +26.1
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingMatthew StaffordLA368 pass yds
- RushingKyren WilliamsLA78 rush yds
- ReceivingPuka NacuaLA181 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#4/32DET pass defense#29/32
- LA run game#1/32DET run defense#5/32
- DET passing attack#6/32LA pass defense#11/32
- DET run game#3/32LA run defense#15/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DETDetroit Lions
- Jared GoffQB · 13 games256pass yds/g
- Jahmyr GibbsRB · 13 games81.7rush yds/g
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · 13 games75.1rec yds/g
- Jameson WilliamsWR · 13 games61.7rec yds/g
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 13 games258pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 13 games73.2rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 12 games98.8rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 13 games55.2rec yds/g