AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 15 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos, final 26–34

GBGBGreen Bay Packers26DENDENDenver Broncos34

Pregame first read

GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #1/32 · DEN pass defense #12/32 · 146 offense / 213 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -0.5
Model total
42.5
80% range (DEN margin)
-14.5 to +19.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#10/32GB pass defense#18/32
  • DEN run game#16/32GB run defense#10/32
  • GB passing attack#1/32DEN pass defense#12/32
  • GB run game#12/32DEN run defense#13/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

DENDenver Broncos