AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 15 · Final

Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks, final 16–18

INDINDIndianapolis Colts16SEASEASeattle Seahawks18

Pregame first read

SEA pass defense has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #24/32 · SEA pass defense #1/32 · 185 offense / 190 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
SEA -6.5
Model total
48
80% range (SEA margin)
-7.7 to +25.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SEA passing attack#12/32IND pass defense#20/32
  • SEA run game#18/32IND run defense#4/32
  • IND passing attack#24/32SEA pass defense#1/32
  • IND run game#7/32SEA run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

INDIndianapolis Colts

SEASeattle Seahawks