AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 15 · Final

Minnesota Vikings at Dallas Cowboys, final 34–26

MINMINMinnesota Vikings34DALDALDallas Cowboys26

Pregame first read

MIN run game has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #6/32 · DAL run defense #26/32 · 105 offense / 99 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DAL -3
Model total
48.5
80% range (DAL margin)
-11.0 to +22.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#8/32MIN pass defense#7/32
  • DAL run game#19/32MIN run defense#9/32
  • MIN passing attack#32/32DAL pass defense#25/32
  • MIN run game#6/32DAL run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MINMinnesota Vikings

DALDallas Cowboys