2025 Week 15 · Final
Washington Commanders at New York Giants, final 29–21
Pregame first read
NYG passing attack has the stronger league profile.
NYG passing attack #7/32 · WAS pass defense #32/32 · 171 offense / 155 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- NYG -5
- Model total
- 51
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -9.3 to +24.2
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJaxson DartNYG246 pass yds
- RushingJacory Croskey-MerrittWAS96 rush yds
- ReceivingTheo JohnsonNYG72 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#7/32WAS pass defense#32/32
- NYG run game#9/32WAS run defense#31/32
- WAS passing attack#18/32NYG pass defense#26/32
- WAS run game#14/32NYG run defense#32/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
WASWashington Commanders
- Jayden DanielsQB · 7 games180pass yds/g
- Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · 13 games42.3rush yds/g
- Terry McLaurinWR · 6 games56.7rec yds/g
- Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · 12 games46.8rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- Jameis WinstonQB · 2 games284pass yds/g
- Cam SkatteboRB · 8 games51.3rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 4 games67.8rec yds/g
- Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · 13 games63.7rec yds/g