AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 16 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears, final 16–22

GBGBGreen Bay Packers16CHICHIChicago Bears22

Pregame first read

GB run game has the stronger league profile.

GB run game #9/32 · CHI run defense #23/32 · 135 offense / 116 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -0.5
Model total
46.5
80% range (CHI margin)
-14.2 to +19.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#21/32GB pass defense#22/32
  • CHI run game#3/32GB run defense#13/32
  • GB passing attack#2/32CHI pass defense#7/32
  • GB run game#9/32CHI run defense#23/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

CHIChicago Bears