2025 Week 16 · Final
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks, final 37–38
Pregame first read
LA run defense has the stronger league profile.
SEA run game #23/32 · LA run defense #16/32 · 133 offense / 135 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- LA -1
- Model total
- 49.5
- 80% range (SEA margin)
- -14.9 to +18.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingMatthew StaffordLA457 pass yds
- RushingKenneth Walker IIISEA100 rush yds
- ReceivingPuka NacuaLA225 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- SEA passing attack#16/32LA pass defense#11/32
- SEA run game#23/32LA run defense#16/32
- LA passing attack#8/32SEA pass defense#2/32
- LA run game#1/32SEA run defense#3/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 14 games266pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 14 games73.6rush yds/g
- Puka NacuaWR · 13 games105rec yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 14 games56.4rec yds/g
SEASeattle Seahawks
- Sam DarnoldQB · 14 games245pass yds/g
- Kenneth Walker IIIRB · 14 games55.6rush yds/g
- Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · 14 games110rec yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 13 games39.9rec yds/g