AUGRISOpen research

2025 Week 16 · Final

Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants, final 16–13

MINMINMinnesota Vikings16NYGNYGNew York Giants13

Pregame first read

MIN run game has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #9/32 · NYG run defense #32/32 · 114 offense / 130 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -2
Model total
47.5
80% range (NYG margin)
-16.0 to +17.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYG passing attack#12/32MIN pass defense#8/32
  • NYG run game#17/32MIN run defense#13/32
  • MIN passing attack#29/32NYG pass defense#19/32
  • MIN run game#9/32NYG run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

MINMinnesota Vikings

NYGNew York Giants